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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything — and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent

  • Format
  • paperback
  • Pages
  • 480
  • Language
  • english
  • ISBN
  • 978-0-14-103459-1
  • EAN
  • 9780141034591
  • Release date
  • 2008