The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything — and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
- Author
- Nassim Nicholas Taleb
- Format
- paperback
- Pages
- 480
- Publisher
- Penguin
- Language
- english
- ISBN
- 978-0-14-103459-1
- EAN
- 9780141034591
- Release date
- 2008
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